Canada just hung six on Qatar and they've got Davies flying down the wing and David sniffing out goals — this team scares people. Morocco are good, but they scraped past the Dutch on penalties and they've been grinding out one-goal games all tournament.

Everyone's buzzing about Canada after one big scoreline. Morocco have never lost to them, ever. They held Brazil and knocked out the Dutch — that's the better side.

Sim's got Morocco through more often than not — modal is a 2-1 Morocco win. 1xBet has Morocco at 1.82, and stripping the vig the fair line sits near 54%; I make them closer to 58% on the H2H edge and the cleaner tournament run. That's value on the match winner — Morocco to advance is the play, not the goals line.

Give me Canada at a big price to nick this — Davies on the break is worth a swing.

Morocco win it, plain and simple.