Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven prediction — the Three Pundits debate (Eredivisie)

Under three and three quarter goals, 1.76 at Pinnacle. There's a shorter line paying quite a bit more and I'm not touching it. Four goals kills that one outright. On mine, four goals only takes half the stake off me.

You're betting on a quiet night at a ground where Excelsior have won eleven on the bounce. Naujoks has just scored twice and Yegoian has four in his last four. PSV have let in six in two competitive games. This place is going to be loud and open.

I'm not on this one. I have PSV winning by two here and that is four goals in the game. I'd have taken PSV on the handicap instead. Beating Cambuur away is not evidence against forty-one years of losing to these people.

Your own call is exactly the scoreline that costs me half the bet, so at least you're consistent. But PSV get Veerman and Dest back from bans this week. A side that has just been handed two starters usually controls a game rather than trading punches in it.

Control it? They shipped four in a trophy final. Schouten is out with a knee and that's the one who screens their back line. I still think Excelsior nick it, and I'll happily take the goals staying sensible while they do.

Two of us think this ends with PSV a goal in front. That's three goals in the match and the bet is home long before the fourth. I'm fine being wrong about who wins.

You're both relying on a tight game at a ground where PSV have been merciless. I have it three-one and I'd have backed the handicap. Enjoy sweating the fourth goal.