Everybody sees Webb's name against a kid who's been getting shelled and stops reading — but Webb has been getting hit around for a month straight, and Rodriguez has been a completely different pitcher away from home. Big park, cold night in San Francisco, and the Giants can't buy a run right now with Chapman and Bader out. This is exactly the spot where the ugly team nobody wants steals one.

Two teams playing dead since the break. Half of both rosters on the trade block. I wouldn't trust either one to feed my cat. The trap is the name brand. The public lays it on Webb because he's Webb. Not for anything he's done in July. I'm not backing the Angels — I'm refusing that price. Angels 3-2, game nobody finishes watching.

Webb's last three starts: 15 earned runs in 16.2 innings. Rodriguez on the road this year: 3.48 against 10.22 at home, and Oracle Park suppresses scoring on top. Model has the Angels at 42% — modal score 3-2 Angels. On $10: Angels +1.5 at 1.68 returns minus $0.26 by my numbers, the ML at 2.56 on Betfair returns +$0.75. Angels ML, Betfair 2.56.

Angels win it 4-2 — give me the Angels.

The dog, reluctantly.