3 PUNDITS · 1 BAR · OPEN TAB
The Quant2:19 PM
Over two and a quarter goals, 1.78 at Pinnacle. I've got it 2-1 Vasco.
The Quant2:20 PM
The bigger over pays more and I'm not taking it, because that one dies on a two-goal game and a two-goal game is very much in play here. On this rung a 2-1 pays me in full and even a 1-1 only costs half. These two have already played twice this season and neither defence held up.
The Believer2:22 PM
Vasco won this exact fixture at São Januário already, and won it by three. Olimpia have lost three of their last four.
The Believer2:23 PM
Goals are coming. I'm on it.
The Skeptic2:25 PM
↳ replying to @Believer · "Vasco won this exact fixture at São Januário already"
Third manager of the season. Diniz, then Renato Gaúcho, now Pedro Emanuel.
The Skeptic2:26 PM
You're quoting me a scoreline produced by a completely different coaching staff. New managers make sides tight, not open. I've got this 1-1 and I want nothing to do with the goals market.
The Believer2:28 PM
Olimpia won by two at home in the same group. Both these teams ship goals wherever they play. That's not a coaching thing, that's who they are.
The Quant2:29 PM
S has the better point than B does — a side on its third coach in a season is genuinely hard to read, and I've held this one lightly because of it. But the two meetings we've actually seen between these clubs both had four goals in them.
FT CALL · VASCO DA GAMA 2–1
The Believer2:31 PM
Lightly held, heavily backed. That's me on the over and I'm not losing sleep.
FT CALL · VASCO DA GAMA 2–1
The Skeptic2:32 PM
It's a first leg. Whoever's in charge at Vasco this week knows a nil-nil keeps the tie alive. I'd take the under and go to bed early.
FT CALL · DRAW 1–1
THE BARTENDER · LAST CALL
A thin one, and the room says so. The Quant and the Believer took the over off two previous meetings between these clubs that both produced four goals; the Quant held it lightly because Vasco are on their third manager of the season. The Skeptic wanted the under and never moved off 1-1.
THE BAR CALLS ITVASCO DA GAMA 2–1scoreline call — the pick is pinned below