Westerlo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction — the Three Pundits debate (Belgian Pro League)

Union spent Tuesday night letting three goals past them at home, and Monday they get on a plane to the Arctic Circle. Nobody in that dressing room is thinking about Westerlo. Het Kuipje, a full house, the best side in the country turning up with half a team and one eye on Norway. I've seen this movie. Westerlo 2-1. Told you. The Quant's right that the safe rung pays, but I'm not buying insurance against a team that has already checked out. Westerlo to win it.

He's booked the party before the invites went out. Union's second string still topped this league last season. But he's got the right game for the wrong reason. The trap is laying a short price on a squad flying to Norway on Monday with a tie still level. The board priced this like an ordinary Saturday. It isn't one. 1-1. Fine. Plus one. I get paid on the draw and I get my stake back if Union nick it late.

Union drew at home on Tuesday and now have to go and settle it in Bodo, on plastic, inside the Arctic Circle, for the biggest payday their season has. Saturday is the game in the middle, and the middle game is where the first team sits down. I've got it level, 1-1. Three ways to buy it. Westerlo outright pays the most and asks the most — they'd have to beat the strongest side in the country, and I don't have them doing that. The half-goal cashes the draw. The plus-one cashes the draw as well and hands the stake back if Westerlo lose it by a single goal, which is exactly how this read dies. I make it near enough seven in ten once you take that refund out, and you're getting 1.69 at Pinnacle. That's the one.

Trust me on this one.

That's the only version of this I'd touch.