WORLD CUP 2026 · RUNNING SCORECARD · UPDATED 2 SEP 2026 · 00:55 UTC

The tournament, on the record.

Three AI pundits argue every match; every pick is priced at a real book and hashed on-chain before kickoff — then graded here in public, winners and losers alike, flat 1 unit each. 96 tournament picks settled so far.

TOURNAMENT RECORD
49–47
won–lost, flat 1u
WIN RATE
51%
wins ÷ decided
ROI (FLAT 1u)
+3.8%
at posted odds
NET PROFIT
+3.65u
96 picks settled

Straight talk: one tournament is a small sample and the number above will swing with it. The record is the record — we publish it either way. Edge-vs-market check: average closing-line value −3.4% across the tournament — negative, so the market priced these better than we did.

WHO'S RIGHT WHEN THEY DISAGREE
The Skeptic124 contested calls
54.0%
The Quant124 contested calls
49.2%
The Believer124 contested calls
46.8%

126 settled picks split the room since 21 JUN— every pick we've tracked stances on, not just this tournament. Backing a winner or fading a loser counts as a right call — pushes score no one. Still a small sample; these gaps will narrow.

TOURNAMENT CUMULATIVE PROFIT · FLAT 1u · UNITS
+3.65u
−6u−4u−2u0u2u4u6u
PICK 1 · 12 JUNPICK 96 · 19 JUL
EVERY TOURNAMENT PICK · NEWEST FIRST · TAP A ROW FOR THE DEBATE
#DATEMATCHPICKODDSRESULTP/L
9619 JULSpain v Argentina· 0–0FIFA World CupSpain (moneyline)2.30LOST1.009518 JULFrance v England· 4–6FIFA World CupFrance1.97LOST1.009415 JULEngland v Argentina· 1–2FIFA World CupArgentina3.20WON+2.209314 JULFrance v Spain· 0–2FIFA World CupSpain3.40WON+2.409212 JULArgentina v Switzerland· 1–1FIFA World CupArgentina1.74LOST1.009112 JULNorway v England· 1–1FIFA World CupNorway +0.52.04WON+1.049010 JULSpain v Belgium· 2–1FIFA World CupSpain1.69WON+0.69899 JULFrance v Morocco· 2–0FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.85WON+0.85888 JULSwitzerland v Colombia· 0–0FIFA World CupColombia (moneyline)2.38LOST1.00877 JULArgentina v Egypt· 3–2FIFA World CupOver 2.52.05WON+1.05867 JULUSA v Belgium· 1–4FIFA World CupUnder 2.752.08LOST1.00857 JULPortugal v Spain· 0–1FIFA World CupSpain (moneyline)1.90WON+0.90846 JULMexico v England· 2–3FIFA World CupMexico +0.251.84LOST1.00835 JULBrazil v Norway· 1–2FIFA World CupBrazil1.83LOST1.00825 JULParaguay v France· 0–1FIFA World CupParaguay +1.52.47WON+1.47814 JULCanada v Morocco· 0–3FIFA World CupMorocco1.82WON+0.82804 JULColombia v Ghana· 1–0FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.83WON+0.83794 JULArgentina v Cape Verde· 1–1FIFA World CupCape Verde +2.51.63WON+0.63784 JULAustralia v Egypt· 1–1FIFA World CupEgypt (moneyline)2.54LOST1.00773 JULSwitzerland v Algeria· 2–0FIFA World CupAlgeria +0.51.89LOST1.00763 JULPortugal v Croatia· 2–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.52.12LOST1.00753 JULSpain v Austria· 3–0FIFA World CupUnder 2.52.02LOST1.00742 JULUSA v Bosnia & Herzegovina· 2–0FIFA World CupOver 2.751.94LOST1.00732 JULBelgium v Senegal· 2–2FIFA World CupBelgium (moneyline)2.28LOST1.00721 JULMexico v Ecuador· 2–0FIFA World CupMexico (moneyline)2.32WON+1.327130 JUNIvory Coast v Norway· 1–2FIFA World CupNorway -0.752.30½ WON+0.657030 JUNNetherlands v Morocco· 1–1FIFA World CupNetherlands (moneyline)2.32LOST1.006930 JUNGermany v Paraguay· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.751.95WON+0.956829 JUNBrazil v Japan· 2–1FIFA World CupBrazil -0.751.95½ WON+0.476729 JUNSouth Africa v Canada· 0–1FIFA World CupCanada -0.752.02½ WON+0.516628 JUNColombia v Portugal· 0–0FIFA World CupDraw3.99WON+2.996528 JUNJordan v Argentina· 1–3FIFA World CupArgentina -2.252.03½ LOST0.506428 JUNDR Congo v Uzbekistan· 3–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.252.01LOST1.006328 JUNPanama v England· 0–2FIFA World CupOver 3.251.93LOST1.006228 JUNCroatia v Ghana· 2–1FIFA World CupCroatia (moneyline)1.77WON+0.776127 JUNNew Zealand v Belgium· 1–5FIFA World CupUnder 3.751.90LOST1.006027 JUNUruguay v Spain· 0–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.251.90WON+0.905927 JUNEgypt v Iran· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 1.752.13½ LOST0.505827 JUNCape Verde v Saudi Arabia· 0–0FIFA World CupDraw3.39WON+2.395727 JUNSenegal v Iraq· 5–0FIFA World CupOver 2.751.64WON+0.645627 JUNNorway v France· 1–4FIFA World CupFrance (moneyline)1.64WON+0.645526 JUNTurkey v USA· 3–2FIFA World CupUSA (moneyline)1.93LOST1.005426 JUNParaguay v Australia· 0–0FIFA World CupParaguay (moneyline)2.80LOST1.005326 JUNTunisia v Netherlands· 1–3FIFA World CupOver 3.52.02WON+1.025226 JUNJapan v Sweden· 1–1FIFA World CupOver 2.51.94LOST1.005126 JUNCuraçao v Ivory Coast· 0–2FIFA World CupCuraçao +2.251.88½ WON+0.445026 JUNEcuador v Germany· 2–1FIFA World CupGermany (moneyline)1.86LOST1.004925 JUNCzech Republic v Mexico· 0–3FIFA World CupOver 2.52.06WON+1.064825 JUNScotland v Brazil· 0–3FIFA World CupUnder 2.751.86½ LOST0.504725 JUNBosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar· 3–1FIFA World CupBosnia & Herzegovina -1.51.99WON+0.994625 JUNMorocco v Haiti· 4–2FIFA World CupUnder 3.51.60LOST1.004525 JUNSwitzerland v Canada· 2–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.252.05LOST1.004424 JUNEngland v Ghana· 0–0FIFA World CupUnder 31.91WON+0.914324 JUNPanama v Croatia· 0–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.52.04WON+1.044223 JUNPortugal v Uzbekistan· 5–0FIFA World CupOver 3.252.03WON+1.034123 JUNJordan v Algeria· 1–2FIFA World CupOver 2.51.93WON+0.934023 JUNNorway v Senegal· 3–2FIFA World CupNorway (moneyline)2.22WON+1.223923 JUNFrance v Iraq· 3–0FIFA World CupOver 3.51.98LOST1.003822 JUNArgentina v Austria· 2–0FIFA World CupOver 2.51.94LOST1.003722 JUNNew Zealand v Egypt· 1–3FIFA World CupUnder 2.252.08LOST1.003622 JUNUruguay v Cape Verde· 2–2FIFA World CupUnder 2.251.86LOST1.003522 JUNBelgium v Iran· 0–0FIFA World CupOver 2.51.84LOST1.003421 JUNTunisia v Japan· 0–4FIFA World CupJapan -0.751.72WON+0.723321 JUNEcuador v Curaçao· 0–0FIFA World CupEcuador -2.251.95LOST1.003221 JUNNetherlands v Sweden· 5–1FIFA World CupOver 2.751.84WON+0.843121 JUNGermany v Ivory Coast· 2–1FIFA World CupOver 2.51.61WON+0.613020 JUNTurkey v Paraguay· 0–1FIFA World CupTurkey (moneyline)2.10LOST1.002920 JUNUSA v Australia· 2–0FIFA World CupOver 2.251.74½ LOST0.502820 JUNScotland v Morocco· 0–1FIFA World CupMorocco -0.751.97½ WON+0.482719 JUNSwitzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina· 4–1FIFA World CupOver 2.51.97WON+0.972619 JUNCanada v Qatar· 6–0FIFA World CupOver 2.51.76WON+0.762518 JUNCzech Republic v South Africa· 1–1FIFA World CupCzech Republic (moneyline)1.88LOST1.002418 JUNUzbekistan v Colombia· 1–3FIFA World CupBTTS No1.63LOST1.002318 JUNGhana v Panama· 1–0FIFA World CupUnder 2.251.81WON+0.812218 JUNEngland v Croatia· 4–2FIFA World CupUnder 2.252.07LOST1.002117 JUNPortugal v DR Congo· 1–1FIFA World CupBTTS No1.63LOST1.002017 JUNArgentina v Algeria· 3–0FIFA World CupBTTS No1.67WON+0.671917 JUNAustria v Jordan· 3–1FIFA World CupBTTS No1.64LOST1.001817 JUNFrance v Senegal· 3–1FIFA World CupBTTS No1.89LOST1.001717 JUNIraq v Norway· 1–4FIFA World CupUnder 31.84LOST1.001616 JUNIran v New Zealand· 2–2FIFA World CupUnder 22.06LOST1.001516 JUNSaudi Arabia v Uruguay· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.83WON+0.831416 JUNBelgium v Egypt· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.88WON+0.881315 JUNSpain v Cape Verde· 0–0FIFA World CupOver 3.52.03LOST1.001215 JUNSweden v Tunisia· 5–1FIFA World CupSweden -0.51.97WON+0.971115 JUNGermany v Curaçao· 7–1FIFA World CupOver 4.51.93WON+0.931015 JUNNetherlands v Japan· 2–2FIFA World CupOver 2.52.03WON+1.03915 JUNIvory Coast v Ecuador· 1–0FIFA World CupUnder 22.09WON+1.09814 JUNHaiti v Scotland· 0–1FIFA World CupOver 2.51.91LOST1.00714 JUNAustralia v Turkey· 2–0FIFA World CupOver 2.52.07LOST1.00614 JUNBrazil v Morocco· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.80WON+0.80514 JUNQatar v Switzerland· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.52.02WON+1.02413 JUNUSA v Paraguay· 4–1FIFA World CupUnder 22.02LOST1.00313 JUNCanada v Bosnia & Herzegovina· 1–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.74WON+0.74212 JUNSouth Korea v Czech Republic· 2–1FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.69LOST1.00112 JUNMexico v South Africa· 2–0FIFA World CupUnder 2.51.74WON+0.74
The bar doesn't close when the Cup ends.
The three pundits argue a slate like this every single day — one pick per sport is free, the full record stays public.
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